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While there is no universal logic of induction, the probability calculus succeeds as a logic of induction in many contexts through its use of several notions concerning inductive inference. They inclu...
The main difficulty facing no-collapse theories of quantum mechanics in the Everettian tradition concerns the role of probability within a theory in which every possible outcome of a measurement actua...
This paper examines probabilistic versions of the fine-tuning argument for design
(FTA), with an emphasis on the interpretation of the probability statements involved in such
arguments. Three cate...
GRW Theory postulates a stochastic mechanism assuring that every so often the wave function of a quantum system is `hit', which leaves it in a localised state. How are we to interpret the probabilitie...
Probability in modal interpretations of quantum mechanics
Modal interpretations quantum theory probability
2008/4/22
Modal interpretations have the ambition to construe quantum mechanics as an objective, man-independent description of physical reality. Their second leading idea is probabilism: quantum mechanics does...
Quantum Probability from Subjective Likelihood: improving onDeutsch's proof of the probability rule
Everett Probability Decision Theory
2008/4/22
I present a proof of the quantum probability rule from decision-theoretic assumptions, in the context of the Everett interpretation. The basic ideas behind the proof are those presented in Deutsch's r...
We develop and defend the thesis that the Hilbert space formalism of quantum mechanics is a new theory of probability. The theory, like its classical counterpart, consists of an algebra of events, and...
Quantum Probability and Decision Theory, Revisited
Quantum Mechanics Everett Interpretation
2008/4/22
An extended analysis is given of the program, originally suggested by Deutsch, of solving the probability problem in the Everett interpretation by means of decision theory. Deutsch's own proof is disc...
Reliability via Synthetic A Priori –Reichenbach’s Doctoral Thesis on Probability
foundations of probability causality induction
2008/4/22
Reichenbach is well known for his limiting frequency view of probability, with his most thorough account given in The Theory of Probability in 1935/49. Perhaps less known are Reichenbach's early views...
Special relativity is most naturally formulated as a theory of spacetime geometry, but within the spacetime framework probability appears to be a purely epistemic notion. It is possible that progress ...
There is a strong connection, in our world, between symmetry and probability. We often rely on symmetries to infer the probabilities of different possible outcomes, both their objective chances and ou...
The Third Way on Objective Probability: A Skeptic's Guide to Objective Chance
Probability Chance Humeanism David Lewis
2008/4/21
The goal of this paper is to sketch and defend a new interpretation or ‘theory’ of objective chance, one that lets us be sure such chances exist and shows how they can play the roles we traditionally ...
The Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics has repeatedly been criticized on the grounds that probabilty makes no sense on its terms. These criticisms are considered in detail, and found to be wa...
Everettian accounts of quantum mechanics entail that people branch; every possible result of a measurement actually occurs, and I have one successor for each result. Is there room for probability in s...
Understanding Deutsch's probability in a deterministic multiverse
Quantum mechanics Everett interpretation
2008/4/21
Difficulties over probability have often been considered fatal to the Everett interpretation of quantum mechanics. Here I argue that the Everettian can have everything she needs from `probability' wit...