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Generalized martingale model of the uncertainty evolution of streamflow forecasts
Forecast uncertainty Forecast improvement Martingale model of forecast evolution Normal quantile transform Rolling horizon reservoir operation
2013/7/25
Streamflow forecasts are dynamically updated in real-time, thus facilitating a process of forecast uncertainty evolution. Forecast uncertaintygenerally decreases over time and as more hydrologic...
Changes in the eco-flow metrics of the Upper Yangtze River from 1961 to 2008
Flow regime Ecosurplus Ecodefi cit The Yangtze River The Three Gorges Reservoir
2013/7/25
Flow regime changes in the Upper Yangtze River were investigated using the eco-flow metrics (ecosurplus and ecodeficit) andthe‘‘Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration’’ (IHA) parameters. Resu...
Effect of streamflow forecast uncertainty on real-time reservoir operation
Streamfl ow forecast uncertainty Real-time reservoir operation Deterministic streamfl ow forecast Probabilistic streamfl ow forecast Martingale Model of Forecast Evolution
2013/7/25
Various hydrological forecast products have been applied to real-time reservoir operation, includingdeterministic streamflow forecast (DSF), DSF-based probabilistic streamflow forecast (ps...
Detecting the effect of land-use change on streamflow, sediment and nutrient losses by distributed hydrological simulation
Land-use change Non-point source pollution Streamfl ow Sediment yield Pollutant load
2013/7/25
Water shortage and water pollution are two major water issues in Northern China. In recent decades, thedecrease in inflow and the deterioration of water quality in the Miyun Reservoir have affec...
Impact of climate variability and human activity on streamflow decrease in the Miyun Reservoir catchment
Decrease of streamfl ow Human activity Climate variability Distributed hydrological model Climate elasticity model
2013/7/25
Miyun Reservoir is the main raw water source for Beijing’s domestic water supply. Flow discharge toMiyun Reservoir decreased drastically over a 50-year period, from 1956 to 2005, and had seriouslyaffe...