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How Does Obama Match-Up?Counterfactuals & the Role of Obama’s Race in 2008
Obama Match-Up Counterfactuals Obama’s Race in 2008
2015/6/4
Would the outcome of the 2008 U.S. presidential election have been different if Barack Obama had not been the Democratic nominee? In this paper we analyze 33 head-to-head matchups, some real and some ...
Primary Politics:Race,Gender,and Age in the 2008 Democratic Primary
Race Gender Age the 2008 Democratic Primary
2015/6/4
Despite Barack Obama’s momentum in the early phase of the Democratic nomination, the process of selecting a nominee took longer than usual. Obama’s momentum, it seems, got stuck, and the 2008 Democrat...
Primary Politics:The Effects of Gender,Age,&Race in the 2008 Democratic Primary
Gender Age Race the 2008 Democratic Primary
2015/6/4
Despite Barack Obama’s momentum in the early phase of the democratic nomination, the process of selecting a nominee took longer than usual. Eight candidates were winnowed to two, but the remaining two...
Regime fatigue : a cognitive-psychological model for identifying a socialized negativity effect in U.S. Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections from 1960-2008
party fatigue regime fatigue homophily negativity effect incumbent candidates elections social networks impression forming schema model calculating voter converse stimson
2015/1/7
This research project proposes to try to isolate and measure the influence of “regime fatigue” on gubernatorial elections and senatorial elections in the United States where there is no incumbent runn...