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The Pessimistic Induction:A Bad Argument Gone Too Far
anti-realism inductive generalization pessimistic induction scientific realism
2016/5/30
In this paper, I consider the pessimistic induction construed as a deductive argument (specifically, reductio ad absurdum) and as an inductive argument (specifically, inductive generalization). I argu...
In a formal theory of induction, inductive inferences are licensed by universal
schemas. In a material theory of induction, inductive inferences are licensed by
facts. With this change in the conc...
THE PROBLEM OF INDUCTION AND KARL POPPER’S HYPOTHETICO-DEDUCTIVE METHODOLOGY: A CRITICAL EVALUATION
HYPOTHETICO-DEDUCTIVE METHODOLOGY
2009/3/23
The focus of this paper is to examine the problem of induction as a methodology for science. It also evaluates Karl Popper’s deductive approach as the suitable methodology for scientific research. Pop...
J.S. Mill’s Canons of Induction: from True Causes to Provisional Ones
J.S. Mill (canons of) induction inductive inference history of philosophy of science
2011/9/7
In this essay, my aim is twofold: to clarify how the late Mill conceived of the certainty of inductive generalizations and to offer a systematic clarification of the limited domain of application of t...
J.S. Mill’s Canons of Induction: from True Causes to Provisional Ones
J.S. Mill, (canons of) induction, inductive inference, history of philosophy of science
2011/9/7
In this essay, my aim is twofold: to clarify how the late Mill conceived of the certainty of inductive generalizations and to offer a systematic clarification of the limited domain of application of t...
The Pessimistic Induction from falsity of past theories forms a perennial argument against scientific realism. This paper considers and rebuts two recent arguments due to Lewis (2001) and Lange (2002)...
This paper analyzes the epistemological significance of the problem of induction. In the first section, the foundation of this problem is identified in the thesis of gnoseological dualism: we only kno...
The Formal Equivalence of Grue and Green and How It Undoes the New Riddle of Induction
Green Grue
2008/4/21
The hidden strength of Goodman's ingenious "new riddle of induction" lies in the perfect symmetry of grue/bleen and green/blue. The very same sentence forms used to define grue/bleen in terms of green...
A simple indeterministic system is displayed and it is urged that we cannot
responsibly infer inductively over it if we presume that the probability calculus is the appropriate logic of induction. T...
Sherlock Holmes and Probabilistic Induction
Sherlock Holmes probability iverse method symbolic logic
2008/4/1
In this paper, (1) I argue that Sherlock Holmes was a good logician
according to the standard of his day, and (2) I try to show what his method of
reasoning was. Now, (2) is a harder task than (1), ...