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Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallacy Reconsidered
Conjunction fallacy Linda problem psychology of reasoning Bayesian epistemology
2009/6/24
In a famous experiment by Tversky and Kahneman (1983), featuring Linda the bank teller, the participants assign a higher probability to a conjunction of propositions than to one of the conjuncts, ther...
The conjunction fallacy has been a key topic in debates on the rationality of human reasoning and its limitations. Despite extensive inquiry, however, the attempt of providing a satisfactory account o...
Is the Conjunction Fallacy tied to Probabilistic Confirmation?
confirmation theory Bayesianism
2008/4/15
Crupi, Fitelson, and Tentori (CFT, forthcoming) offer three conditions that constitute an attempted confirmation-theoretic explanation of the conjunction fallacy. I present experimental results to sho...