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Dr. Joyce intended this talk to be both an introduction to work that has been done on the problem of the priors and a
summary of recent work that Dr. Joyce has been pursuing on this problem. A good d...
The Tacking by Disjunction Paradox: Bayesianism versus Hypothetico-deductivism
Confirmation paradox tacking by disjunction Bayesianism
2008/4/21
Hypothetico-deductivists have struggled to develop qualitative confirmation theories not raising the so-called tacking by disjunction paradox. In this paper, I analyze the difficulties yielded by the ...
Inference to the Best Explanation, Bayesianism, and Feminist Bank Tellers
Bayesianism Inference to the Best Explanation
2008/4/14
Inference to the Best Explanation and Bayesianism have both been proposed as descriptions of the way that people make inferences. This paper argues that one result from cognitive psychology, the "femi...
We pose and resolve several vexing decision theoretic puzzles. Some are variants of existing puzzles, such as ‘Trumped’ (Arntzenius and McCarthy 1997), ‘Rouble trouble’ (Arntzenius and Barrett 1999), ...